FACTORS FOR FIRST CRESCENT 
 ------------------------
 John Pazmino
 NYSkies Astronomy Inc
 www.nyskies.org
 nyskies*nyskies.org
 2020 April 14

Introduction
 ----------
    In the past several years NYSkiers took up interest in the 
astronomical ways of regulating calendars. In particular they started 
anew observing project, spotting the first Crescent that begins 
certain important months. 
    Many early peoples marked time by the motion of the Moon thru the 
zodiac. The period of one round of the zodiac is 29-1/2 days for a 
Sun-to-sun lap. For a star-to-star lap it's 27-1/6 days.This period is 
close to 1/12 of a solar year, making it a convenient timespan to 
govern society's chores and mind the seasons. 
    The month began cy actually seeing the Moon first come around into 
the evening sky after her New phase. This is 'First crescent' and is 
usually seen on the day after New Moon. The month then after is 
clocked off by the position of the Moon among the stars and her phase. 
the month ends with Last Crescent just before the next new Moon. This 
is seen in the morning sky before sunrise. 
    For astronomers in New York there are two First Crescent of 
interest, induced by the social composition of the City 
   . One is the one beginning of  Nisan, the Hebrew month that leads 
into passover and Easter. This occurs in early spring each year, 
forced there by adjustments in the hebrew calendar to match the lunar 
month with the solar year. 
   The other begins Ramaadan in the Moslem calendar. In 2020 it occurs 
in April. The Moslem calendar ignores the solar cycle and counts of 
twelve lunar month to the year. Ramadan, and other Moslem months, 
carousel thru the solar year. 
    There is an other First Crescent of potential interest for New 
York but there is so far little motive, yet?, to witness it. This is 
as associated with Chinese New Year, It came in January for 2020 with 
the parades and festivals in the City's Chinese districts.. 
    I give here the physical, natural, principles of first Crescent. 
All First Crescent observances are modified by other rules specific to 
each culture. 

First Crescent
 ------------
    The Moon from the beginning of sky awareness was an easy, 
reliable, continuous marker of time. She runs thru the zodiac in a 
convenient manageable period, which is some 12-1/3 rounds per solar 
year. Nota bene that this is not a whole number of months. 
    While it takes some skill to follow the motion of the Sun, even 
tho it correlates to the seasons, the Moon is seen against the stars 
and goes thru changes of shape, the phases. Against the stars the Moon 
takes 27-1/3 day to round the zodiac for one sideteal period. The 
synodic period, one cycle of phases against the Sun, is 29-1/2 dasy. 
This is the usual meaning of 'lunar month'. 
    The month in many early calendar schemes starts when the Moon 
first emerges out of the Sun's glare soonest after sunset. This can 
happen on the day after or maybe the second day after New Moon. This 
sighting of the Moon to initiate a new month is First Crescent.
    From the evening of First Crescent. day #1 of the month, other 
important dates  are set. These could be keyed toother lunar phases, 
most commonly Full Moon. It is from this means of declaring the start 
of a new month that some calendars still begin the day at sunset, not 
midnight.  The day then runs to the next sunset. 
    The watch for First Crescent wasn't a reckless hunt night after 
night. The skywatchers saw the Moon al during the previous month, 
until she was a waning crescent in the east before sunrise. They knew 
that after the final sight of the Moon, she passes New Moon phase and 
emerges in the evening sky was a waxing crescent. 
    from the last view of the Moon they figured to start looking for 
First Crescent two days later. This  gave the Moon time to round New 
Moon and recede eastward fro the Sun.
    Since under bare-eye observation it is impossible to tell just 
when the moon is geometricly full, Full Moon was often set by rule. In 
the Hebrew calendar it is day #15 of the month, 14 days after First 
Crescent. 
    It was always a struggle for early calendar schemes to mesh the 
solar year with the lunar months. About 12-1/3 lunar months fit into a 
solar year. Some calendars like the Moslem one, let go of the solar 
year, probably because it was established in desert regions with no 
strong seasons. It Its year is 12 lunar months, with no adjustment to 
keep up with the solar year.
    The Hebrews have a base lunar year of 12 lunar months. when the 
shortfall approaches one more lunar month, roughly every three years, 
an additional 13th month is inserted. A schedule of years with and 
without the added month is part of the cultural rules of the calendar 
system. 
    Societies with solar calendars often divided them into 12 more or 
less equal parts, some 30 days long, as months. Our modern civil 
calendar os of this kind. The months remain as a handy right-size 
division of the year, recalling the synodic period of the Moon. 

Egyptians 
 -------
    The Egyptian society had two calendars. The civil calendar was 
solar based with 365 days. The leftover 1/4 day was ignored with no 
leapday feature. It served for business, government, civil affairs. 
    The cultural calendar was lunar based, used for keeping track of 
festivals and celebrations. It banked off of Last Crescent, not First 
Crescent. 
    Last Crescent is the final sighting of the Moon before vanishing 
near the Sin near sunrise. The Egyptian day began at sunrise, not 
sunset. Calendars based on First Crescent, like the Hebrew's, the day 
begins at sunset. 
    The use of last Crescent to mark months derived from the geography 
of Egypt. 1The Egyptians lived along the Nile river, which flows south 
to north. The right bank was convenient to hills, woods, and the Red 
Sea. These provided game, relief from hot, lumber, fruit, water 
transport to the Mid East and African coast. In fact, they built a 
canal from the Nile, downstream from modern Cairo, to the Red Sea. Is 
remanents are now a tourrist attraction. 
    The left bank fronts the Sahara desert, of indefinite extent and 
offering little resources. There were no other substantial peoples for 
interaction..Egyptians traveling without proper provision and 
protection into it faced almost certain death. 
    The society reserved the east side of the Nile for human activity. 
This gave easy access to the resources there and avoided countless 
trips back and forth across the river. 
     The west bank was reserved for the dead, with cemeteries, tombs, 
pyramids, necrpppolites. No one frequented the west bank except for 
visits, burials, property maintenance.. 
    It seemed reasonable that the rising Sun, in the east over the 
land of the living,  begins the day. It cleared the sky of darkness, 
gave light and warmth to the land, revived human activity after sleep. 
this was the time to watch the waning Moon in her last appearance 
ahead of sunrise, the Last Crescent. 
    The Egyptians treated the setting Sun, in the west over the land 
of the dead, as the end of life, shutting off light and warmth, 
suspending human activity, inducing sleep. 

Directions
 --------
    For this article I use the astronomical directions of east-west on 
the Moon. In this method, used by astronomers until the 1970s, treats 
the Moon as a disc attached to the celestial sphere. When the Moon is 
a waxing crescent the side of the Moon lighted by the Sun, the very 
crescent itself, faces toward the west in the sky and is the west 
limb, edge, margin. 
    The  opposite side, on the night side of the Moon, is the east 
limb. 
    The west edge is  also the trailing or following edge because 
against the stars it trails, follows, the Moon in her motion. An 
occulted star emerges from the west limb. 
    The east limb is also the leading, preceding, edge. A star 
immerges into it when occulted. 
    Noeth and south are the directions toward teh north and south 
celestial pole. This is distinct from north and south on the lunar 
surface, which are tied to the Moon's own poles.  
    The astronomical east-west is distinguished from the astrnautical 
directions. In this scheme the Moon is a globe in space. The edge 
lighted for First Crescent is the east edge and the opposite one is 
the west limb. 
    Astronautical directions were introduced in the 1970s by the space 
projects. They sent probes to the Moon and, with no Earth sky to 
provide directions, had to consider the Moon as a whole other world 
like Earth. a collateral shift was the flip of lunar maps ad 
pictures. Traditional astronomy oriented these with south at top, 
matching the classical inverted view in telescopes. Astronautical maps 
and pictures have north at top like for views of Earth.
Picture Earth with North America facing us. Atlantic Ocean is on the 
east side of Earth; Pacific Ocean. west. We continue with the 
astronomical scheme in this article. 
    The sketch here may keep things right way round 
 

          A                           B 
                 N                       N 
       N          -                      -
       |        /   \                  /   \ 
    R -+--W  E |Moon| W             W |Moon| E 
       |        \   /                  \   / 
       S          -                      -
                  S                      S 

    Scene a shows a compass rose on the celestial sphere near the 
Moon. the Moon is a flat disc on the sphere and takes on its 
directions. This is the astronomical direction system. 
    The astronomical convention of showing the Moon with south at top 
is imitated by turning the page to put the text upside down. 
    Scene B is the Moon in space, as seen by an approaching 
spaceprobe. It's directions are laid on a globe, not a flat disc, like 
for Earth. this is the astronautical system. 
    There seems to be no trend to invert an astronautical picture of 
the Moon with south at top. 

Age and phase 
 -----------
    The elongation of Moon from Sun is counted continuously from zero 
at New Moon round to 360 degrees at the next New Moon. Since it takes 
29-1/2 days for a cycle of phases, the synodic period, the 'age' of 
the Moon is clocked off by 12.2 deg/day. a three-day old Moon is some 
37 degrees elongation from the Sun,.
    In general the age of the Moon is 

        age = elongation / 12.2deg/day. 

This is at average lunar speed, ignoring variations around her orbit. 
    The concept of age comes from a common ancient belief that the 
Moon actually dies when she enters New Moon phase. A whole new Moon is 
created after that new Moon. This concept carries into home astronomy 
because most observe the Moon at daily intervals. The Moon seems to 
notch forward day by day. Smooth flowing motion comes into play for 
special occasions like eclipses and occultations. 
    New Moon can occur at any hour within its day, not only at sunset. 
The elongation thenafter generally does not equal an integral number 
of days. A 'three-day' Moon may be any age from 2.5 to 3.4 days, by 
elongation, for a New Moon in the early and late part of its own day. 
This is why such a Moon can look quite different, thicker or thinner 
crescent, than an exact 3.0 day Moon. 
    Mind well that the terminator, the dividing line between the day 
and night side of the Moon, is the sunrise line for the Moon from New 
to Full phase. Craters and other details on the disc abutting the 
terminator are more fully revealed as the Sun rises over them. 
    After Full Moon, thru the next New Moon, the terminator then on 
the disc is the sunset line. Surface features abutting it are covered 
up into the night side. 
    On the lunar ground the terminator migrates 1/2 deg/day or quite 
30km.. Within a hour or so watch of a small crater on the terminator 
shows dramatic change of light & shadow around it. Such observations 
are a favorite for home astronomers. 
    The phase is sometimes expressed as the fraction of the moon's 
disc lighted by the Sun, sometimes as percent lighted. The illuminated 
fraction is 

    (lighted fraction) = (1 - cos(elongation)) / 2 

    This works ONLY for the Moon. It gives silly answers for Venus and 
Mercury because they orbit the Sun, not Earth. 
    Some lunar observing references have a crosswalk table of 
elongation age, lighted fraction. Else a calculette will work the 
above formula . 

Elongation 
 -------- 
    The Moon moves each day 13.2 degrees downrange in the zodiac, 
spending 2-1/2 days to cross thru each sign. The Sun moves one degree 
each day, spending some 30 days in each sign. 
    For this section let the Moon run in the ecliptic, with zero 
deviation north or south  from it. 
    The net movement of the Moon relative to the Sun is 12 .2 deg/day. 
y either the 12 or 13 deg/day lunar motion, the Moon mover 1/2 
deg/hour, or quite her own 1/2 deg diameter per hour. Occultation of 
stars last an hour when the star passes head-on behind the Moon. 
    From the moment of New Moon the Moon pulls ahead of Sun 1/2 
deg/hour. At New Moon and many hours thenafter the Moon is  utterly 
too thin a crescent and in utterly too brilliant twilight to discern 
in the sky. 
    Eventually she acquire enough distance and thickness of crescent 
and darkness of twilight to be seen by eye in the sky. This is First 
Crescent and a new month is called. 
    How far downrange must the Moon stand to come within range of 
first Crescent? There geometric, photometric, cultural factors, all 
with heavy conditions. One sometimes applied is the Danjon limit of 
some 8-1/2 deg, when the crescent should be thick enough to be 
recognized as a distinct feature in the sky against bright twilight. 
it was devised separately from First Crescent. 
    In any case the sighting of First Crescent applies only to the 
first instance after new Moon. Looking for it on the following dusk 
doesn't count. The Moon is then 12 degrees farther from Sun, in darker 
twilight and higher altitude, well within range of bare-eye sight. In 
fact, few observers casually notice the Moon within the first full 
day, 24 hours, after new Moon, yet most observers clearly recall 
seeing a two-day old Moon. 

Twilight 
 ------ 
    To see First Crescent skywatchers stood duty just after sunset to 
maxmize the Moon's altitude above the horizon. Waiting too late lets 
the Moon descend lower, into horizon haze and be lost to view. 
    The sky just after sunset is still as bright as daylight. Waiting 
a bit longer lets the sky darken into twilight. This increases the 
contrast between Moon and sky. 
    In general twilight is a gradient of darkness upward from the 
horizon with some radial gradient left and right of sunset. The zone 
closest to the sunset is the brightest with the least chance of seeing 
the Moon in it. 
    When is the optimal time between sky darkness and lunar altitude 
can not be confidently forecast, or retrodicted. Twilight is a 
meteorplogical effect that is far too complex to model observing 
conditions for a particular first Crescent. 
    In addition, there can be local influences like desert dust 
storms, volcano dust (even if blown off in remote places), clouds of 
pollen and insects, and ordinary haze and thin cloud cloud 
    Calendar keepers relied on past observed First Crescents and 
matched their circumstances to the instant ones. They figured that in 
spite of losing actual sighting, First Crescent should have been seen 
on the instant evening. While twilight can not be reliably modeled to 
examine particular First Crescent events, schematic models are built 
into some planetarium softwares. They tint the sky near the horizon to 
make a pleasing 'typical' twilight. 

Ecliptic 
 ------ 
    The Sun and Moon travel eastward thru the zodiac. The Sun takes 
365-1/4 days for one lap while the Moon takes 27-1/3 days. This is 
the sidereal period, also the orbital period. 
    Measured against the Sun, after one lap of the zodiac the Moon 
must chase the Sun, which moved farther downrange, to complete a phase 
or synodic round in 29-1/2 days. 
    The Sun's motion repeats each year over the same path, the mirror 
of Earth's orbit around the Sun. This path is stable enough over a 
couple millennia to delineate it on starmaps. This is the ecliptic. 
    At sunset in a given geographic latitude the ecliptic slopes 
upward from the horizon by an angle of 

        slope = colatitude +/- 23.5 degrees 


For New York latitude of +40.7 deg the colatitude is (90)-
(+40.7) = 49.3 deg. The maximum and minimum inclination of the 
ecliptic for New York is 

   slope(nax) = (49.3) + (23.5) 
              = 72.8 deg 

   slope(min) = (49.3) - (23.5) 
              =  25.8 deg

    A steep ecliptic puts the Moon higher in the sky for a given 
distance she stands downrange from the Sun. A shallow ecliptic keeps 
the Moon at low altitude for the same distance. 


                A             B 
                \             \ 
                 \                \ 
                  M                   M 
                   \                      \ 
                    \                         \ 
       --------------\=------      ---------------\----
                      O                            O 

    Scene A shows the Sun 'O' just after sunset. The Moon 'M' is 
on the ecliptic. The steep ecliptic holds the Moon high in the sky, 
the altitude being most of her downrange distance from the Sun. She is 
also in a darker zone of twilight. First Crescent would be easier to 
observe by greater altitude and lower sky brightness. 
    Scene B shows the a shallow ecliptic. The Moon at the same 
distance from Sun as in scene A is lower in altitude and is in 
brighter sky. First Crescent would be harder to discern. 
    The slope anglE for a given sunset is a function of date or, 
equivalently, the place of the Sun along the ecliptic. In New York the 
slope is greater in spring and less in autumn. 
    for far north latitudes, the slope can be negative,.The ecliptic 
extends under the horizon at sunset. Durning months when this happens 
The Moon sets before the Sun and there is no First Crescent. Cultures 
in these regions have other means of regulating their calendars. 


Longitude
 ------- 
The Moon's rapid motion causes her aspect in the sky to be radicly 
different across geographic longitude. If, for example, New Moon 
occurred at sunset in one longitude zone, it would be would stand east 
of New Moon in longitudes father west. The angular advance of the Moon 
is the 1/2 deg/hour for every fifteen degrees of longitude, or, 
roughly, each hour of timezone. e   When the early followers of a 
calendar were close to hand, the month was called by an audible 
signal, or at times a visible one like a flag or smoke plume. As the 
followers dispersed around the world, longitude separation could pull 
the call of the month out of synch from a historical home base. 
    In general a First Crescent  can be missed at one longitude for 
being too close to the Sun. In farther west timezones must wait until 
their own local sunset, coming hours later. The Moon is then a bit 
farther from Sun, being a bit easier to see.. It can happen that a 
month is not called in some parts of the world but is so called in 
others.
    To keep all followers on the same date, cultural rules, like 
naming a home station for the one official caller of the month, are 
employed.  With today's Internet services the official call of the 
month can be sent to all followers at once. 


           A                     B                    C 
           \                     \                    M 
             \                     M                     \ 
               M                      \                   \ 
    --------------\---    --------------\- ---  ------------\---
                   O                      O                   O ----

    Scene A is the view from a given longitude with the Sun ' O' just 
after local sunset. The Moon 'M' is near the Sun, too close to discern 
as first Crescent. Location a does not call a month but must wait for 
the next evening for a second attempt. 
    Scene B is a place a couple timezones west of place A. At its own 
local sunset the Moon moved farther from Sun at the rate of 1/2 degree 
of elongation per hour of timezone.  Location B has a better chance of 
calling the month. 
    Scene C is a location still farther west fy a couple more 
timezones. The here may have advanced far enough for observers at C to 
claim sighting of First Crescent. For them the new month begins while 
the locations in longitudes a and B are still in the previous month.
    On a world map the age of the Moon when spotted at first Crescent 
increases westward in longitude. Many First Crescent softwares plot 
the age, amount to the chance, of First Crescent on a world map. 
    Schematicly it look like 

         |                            | 
    -----+----------------------------+---------------------------- 
        IDL              <---W lpm--- 0 ---E  1on--->                    
         |                            |                | 
        -+---------+------------------+---------------+----------+--
    next | present day                |        resent | next day   
         |     |     |     |     |  New Moon 
         |30-32|26-29|22-25|18-21| Moon too close 

    The upper row is a skeleton scale of longitude. 'IDL' is the 
International Date Line and '0' is the Greenwich meridian. 
    The second tow is a time scale for a First Crescent day. The Sun 
sets several hours before midnight. Note carefully that the date jumps 
at the IDL to prevent wrapping the same date round and round the 
world, like running a tight circle around the north pole or riding a 
satellite around Earth. 
    The third row shows the age, in bands of hours, when First 
Crescent could be spotted as sunset migrates westward around the 
world.. These is a zone from New Moon sunset to the very youngest e, 
age of the Moon for a fighting chance to see it. This age, or 
elongation, is set by each calendar system. Observers in this zone of 
longitude do not see First Crescent. The Moon is too young, too close 
to the Sun. 
    Farther west longitudes may catch First Crescent for ages at their 
local sunset. the youngest is in the east end; oldest, west. The age 
bands are established by the rules built into the software. Some 
programs stop computations at age 36h because there had to a sighting 
already in a farther east longitude. 
    The plot cuts off at the IDL. Observers west of IDL are in the 
next day, when a full day beyond reasonable First Crescent sighting.. 
By then the month is already called. 
    It could seem that observer C 'waited too long' to catch First 
Crescent because the Moon was well within the zone to see it earlier. 
    Could location C see First Crescent with the Moon closer to the 
Sun? No, because the very prior chance to spot First Crescent was in 
the previous evening. The Moon then would have been far too close to 
the Sun. 
    In  the diagram above it may seem that observer C 'waited too 
late'.  Couldn't he look for the Moon earlier? He would be hunting her 
up in a daytime sky with the Sun not yet set. A Telescope can darken 
the background sky and increase contrast for the Moon. Such a sighting 
would not be a First Crescent. All First Crescent calendars require 
that the Moon be seen by bare-eye right after sunset. 

Latitude 
 ------- 
    The Moon runs in an orbit inclined 5-1/2 degrees from the 
ecliptic, which accounts for the infrequent occurrence of solar and 
lunar eclipses. The Moon at New and Full phase is usually  too far 
north or south of the ecliptic to produce an eclipse. The deviation 
is the ecliptic latitude of the Moon, from +5-4/2 deg to -5-1/2 deg 
and back month by month.. 
    The Moon's ecliptic latitude alters the altitude of the Moon for a 
given elongation. A northern Moon is higher in the sky than when on 
the ecliptic, zero latitude. First Crescent is easier to pick out 
    A southern Moon is lower in altitude, harder to discern. 
    The range of altitude shift from a farthest north latitude of Moon 
to farthest south, for New York, averages+ /- 3-1/2 degree from a zero 
latitude Moon. 

           A                     B                    C 
           \                     \                    \   M 
             M                     \                     \ 
               \                 M    \                   \ 
    --------------\---    --------------\- ---  ------------\---
                   O                      O                   O ----

    Scene A shows the Moon on the ecliptic near First Crescent. She 
may or may not be observed as such due to altitude. 
    Scene B has a southern Moon of same elongation as A. She is lower 
in altitude, also in brighter twilight, and possibly missed as First 
Crescent. 
    Scene C has a northern Moon, same elongation as A. At her higher 
altitude she is in darker sky and more likely to be caught for First 
Crescent. 
    In back-of-envelope calculation of candidate evenings for First 
Crescent latitude is ignored. The Moon is placed on the ecliptic. Such 
candidate day can be a day off. 
    Latitude has greater effect for a shallow ecliptic. The 
displacement of the Moon is then more vertical, raising or lowering 
the lunar altitude by about 4 dg for New York. A steep ecliptic puts 
the latitude deviation more horizontal, with less shift of altitude. 
it's about 3 deg for New York. 

Refraction 
 --------
    The atmosphere has a vertical density gradient that refracts light 
passing thru it. The effect is to raise the apparent altitude of 
celestial objects above their geometrical positions. Refraction is 
strongest at the horizon, some 1/2 degree, a lunar diameter.  It 
weakens rapidly with altitude to a couple arcminues at about 15 
degrees. This is negligible for home astronomy purposes but celestial 
navigation  must account for it. 
    The refraction is so severe against the horizon that the Sun and 
Moon suffer a gradient of altitude lift over their discs. The disc is 
squashed into a ovoid shape, the lower part being lifted more than the 
upper. 
    In New York's latitude refraction delays sunset and moonset by two 
minutes. 
    A surprisingly good estimate of refraction is found from the local 
temperature and pressure at the observer. This is apparently valid 
even tho refraction is processed all along the lightpath from the 
horizon. This can be many kilometers long. Celestial navigation texts 
give temperature-pressure formulae for refraction. 
    First Crescent software usually include refraction in computing 
the altitude of the Moon. . The program configuration asks for the 
local temperature and pressure. I suspect this is routinely skipped, 
unless they are substantially off from the default values, like for an 
observer at high elevation. 
    Altho the refraction at altitudes of First Crescent are only many 
arcminutes, it could make or break a First Crescent sighting. Without 
refraction the Moon could be a bit too low to spot, specially in hazy 
or brighter twilight. 
    Mechanical planetaria, like astrolabes, do not have refraction 
functions.In  most cases the devices are too small to read out 
altitude better than a degree or two. Computer planetaria commonly 
offer refraction as an option to produce more realistic sky scenes and 
simulate horizon events. 
    Related to refraction is looming. This is an apparent enlargement 
of the scene along the horizon that causes remote features to seem 
closer. I hear about looming from desert stories where a traveler sees 
a town ahead. it seems to be a few more hours away but ends up taking 
many more hours away. As the traveler approaches the scene it evolves 
into its proper angular size. 
    If the Moon near the horizon on a candidate day for first 
Crescent is inflated in angular size by looming, she is more likely to 
be noticed. I know of no accounts of a First Crescent observed under 
looming. I do come across other sightings of the Moon refracted larger 
by looming. In any case there is no good model for looming and it can 
not be reconstructed for a past First Crescent. 

Disc size
 ------- 
    As the Moon rounds perigee and apogee in her orbit she accedes and 
recedes with Earth. Near perigee she is larger angularly; apogee, 
smaller. A larger thin crescent would be easier to discern then a 
small one. 
    Bare-eye astronomers didn't know about the disc size changes, they 
being beyond casual notice. They did know about the variable speed of 
the Moon. Their model of lunar motion, with an excentric circular path 
around Earth,  had a faster angular speed near perigee; slower, 
apogee. 
    The variable speed was well known by the Babylonians. They 
compiled tables of the lunar motion to anticipate First Crescent and 
to fill in records on cloudy evenings. This knowledge mapped into 
later cultures in Asia Minor and Mid East. 
    For sure they had no inkling of the size correlation with speed or 
of 'orbit' as a spatial path. It happens that when the Moon is near 
perigee she moves faster and also presents a larger disc. A perigee 
First Crescent should be more frequently spotted than an apogee First 
Crescent. 
    The faster Moon near perigee also moved her farther along from the 
Sun than average to get her into higher altitude and darker sky than a 
Moon of average speed. This, too, enhanced chance of catching First 
Crescent. Conversely an apogee  Moon, moving slower, didn't reach so 
far from the Sun, sitting at lowar altitude in brighter sky. 
    The size of the lunar disc in modern times makes for the 
'supermoon' and 'minimoon'. These are Full Moons occurring near 
perigee and apogee, being than larger or smaller than average. a 
casual observer, and the public, will not notice the altered size in a 
single look. Changes in size are appreciated by comparing photographs 
or telescope  views of Full Moon around the orbit. 

Eartthshine 
 ---------
    When the Moon to us is a thin crescent, an observer on the Moon 
sees a nearly full Earth. The phases of one body as seen from the 
other are inverse. The daytime fraction of one is the nighttime side 
of the other. 
    The lunar ground is lighted by sunlight reflected from Earth. We 
sometimes see this lighted ground as a soft glow, called 'earthshine'. 
This glow can be bright enough to bring out the maria and a few other 
surface details in binoculars. On other occasions it barely outlines 
the lunar disc against the sky. The brighter apparitions of earthsine 
is known as 'new Moon in ol Moon's arms'. 
    Earthshine is much brighter than moonlight on Earth from the 
larger disc of Earth in the lunar sky and the higher reflectance of 
that disc. The angular area of Earth's disc averages 13.7 times the 
lunar disc in our own sky. Earth reflects light from its clouds while 
the Moon reflects off of rock.                                     The 
    The geometry of earthshine is shown here. S, M, E are Sun., Moon, 
Earth. I moved the Moon away from her First Crescent place to avoid 
overlapping lightpaths. 

                     A 
         S-----------------------------E  
                                    / / 
                                 B/ /C 
                                / / 
                                M 

    A is the path of sunlight from S to E. Some sunlight is reflected 
off of Earth to Moon, path B. Moon reflects some of B's light back to 
Earth,path C, appearing as the gray glow on the Moon's night side. 
    The minimum illumination by Earth  on the Moon is the ratio of 
disc area. This assumes the reflectance, albedo, is the same for both 
Earth and Moon. This ratio is 13.7 to 1. With the greater albedo of 
Earth's clouds, the actual illlumination ratio is more like 40 to 1. 
    Earthshine can occur with large elongation, it's just a lot 
dimmer. The Earth is less than full and the Moon's lighted part causes 
glare. I can't recall seeing earthshine farther from the Sun than 
degrees, or age greater than 6 days. 
    Earthshine, being a weather-generated effect, can not be reliably 
predicted for the future or reconstructed for the past. its brightness 
ranges widely from crescent to crescent. Earthshine also occurs on a 
waning crescent before sunrise, but i found only the egyptian culture 
banked their calendar off of the last Crescent. 
    With strong earthshine the First Crescent would be far more easily 
spotted. The Moon is a disc in the sky with a brighter edge facing the 
Sun. A dark or no earthsine leaves only the thin crescent to look for. 
    I could not find reference to earthshine in any litterature about 
First Crescent. Not even a report of an earlier visibility of First 
Crescent because of earthshine. 













Libration 
 ------- 
    Libration is the periodic rocking or balancing of the Moon during 
the month. The word comes from 'libra', a two-pan weighing scale. it 
rocks, blances, as it settles down for a reading. 
     The Moon librates both east-west and north-soth. The east-west 
libration is libration in logitude. This altrnately expose a bit of 
the Moon's far side around the west and east edge of the lunar disc. 
An equal bit is rolled off of the disc into the far side at the 
 opposite limb. 
    Libration in latitude rocks the Moon noeth-south to reveal far 
side details in turnrm along the north or south limb. This effect for 
First Crescent is small and neglected here. 
    Both librations are purely a mechanical  phaenomenon due to the 
Moon's variable orbital speed and constant rotational speed. . The 
Moon does not physicly rock in her orbit. They were first described by 
Hevelois in mid 1600s. 
    The thin crescent has a mix of dark and light details, the maria 
and terrae, along it. The combined reflected sunlight form these 
details  blend, with bare-eue inspection, into a certain brightness. 
The resulting crescent  brightness factors into discerning First 
Crescent. 
    The scenes here, a slice of the crescent,show  three steps of 
libration. The mumbered aras are maria; blank areas, terrae. The 
smooth right edge is the lunar limb; jagged left, the terminator or 
inner edge of the crescent. 


       A                 B                C 

    >-----|          >-----|          >-----| 
    <111  |          <1111 |         <11    | 
    >111  |          >1111 |         >11    |  
    <111  |          <111  |         <11    | 
    > 1  2|          >  1  |         >1  22| 
    <    2|          <     |         <     | 
    >  3  |          >   3 |         > 3   | 
    <-----|          <-----|         <-----| 

    In scene A a large mare sits on the terminator with two small ones 
nere the limb. 
    In scene B the Moon rolled details toward and over the limb. More 
of the crescent is occupied by dark areas. The crescent reflects less 
sunlight. The Moon is a bit dimmer and harder to spot for First 
Crescent. 
    In scene C libration rolled some far side details onto the disc 
Some other features on the disc are pulled into the night side beyond 
the terminator. The crescent has more light areas, reflecting a bit 
more sunlight and being easier to spot for First Cresecent. 
    Because the rules for First Crescent were developed under bare-eye 
observations, account for libration mis missing from calculation of 
First Crescent. I found no reference for an uppdate method that 
factors in libration. 
    Software to calculate first Crescent often offers reqadings of 
libration and some plots a moonmap that includes it. i don't know if 
libration is also actually cranked into the First Crescent 
computation. 






Aniticipating First Crescent 
 -------------------------- 
    Early skywatchers selected a coming First Crescent by tracking the 
waning crescent before New Moon. When the last sight of this Moon was 
recorded, First Crescent should come two days later.
    The interveing ay is New Moon. They inspected the dusk sky for any 
sign of the Moon and usually they got it right. Once in a while they 
were sure there was no Moon, not just obscured by weather,. They went 
out on the next evening, with a positive sighting.. 
    A mechincal planetarIum, an astrolabe, was in early times used to 
find Fiest Crescent. This function was one strong factor in its 
perfection in the Ioslem world. The Sun on the day of New Moon is 
placed a few degrees under the horizon, amount varied with local 
practice. The ecliptic was marked 12 degrees downtaaange from the Sun 
to represent a one-day old Moon. If this Moon is at OR BAOVE a 
prescribed altitude, the associated date is a candidate for First 
Crescent. Else the Moon is marked 12 more degrees farther and a second 
assessment is done. 
    In midern times home astronomers like to play with first Crescent 
with computer planetaria. They set the program to, say, twenty mnutes 
after sunset on the day of local New Moon. The date is bumped forward 
one day to put the Moon ffarther from the Sun at the same clock hour. 
    Some sky wiseliness is  applied to judge if the Moon could be a 
First Crescent. Software that sinulates twilight and horizon mist 
gives a more confident assessment than one that has a simple all-sky 
dimming after sunset. 
    Dedicated First Crescent software embdedSd some cultural factors 
besides the natural ones. Some plot Zones on a woeld map FOR chances 
of seeing the First Crescent. Fancier programs allow selection of the 
cultural factors to account the variety of calendars banking off of 
first CCrescent. 
    The home astronomer can use these programs to plan a watch for 
first Crescent, according as the calendar scheme he follows. Be 
mindful that the official call of the month may be a day off of the 
one predicted by the program due to local application of cultural 
rules. 

Conclusion 
 --------
    This article considers only the natural, mostly celestial, fators 
that produce a first Crescent. To these factors must be added the 
cultural ones peculiar to the calendar scheme you follow.
    Home astronomers in the 2010s picked up a higher fascination with 
First Crescent. Such interest can enlarge the sphere of engagement 
with the circumstant society and lead to exploration of other 
calendar culture. 
    In a district with several followers of a particular calendar, an 
astrdocial event can be staged for a joint watch for First Crescent. 
Iy van start with a late afternoon picnic and followed by starviewing.